If You Short Silver Right Now, You Will "Die"

How to survive the most dangerous trade of 2026 — and profit when it finally breaks

You are staring at the chart. I know you are.

You see the green line going up. It is not just going up. It is vertical. It looks like a wall. It looks like a rocket ship leaving the earth. Your heart starts to beat faster. Your palms get sweaty. You feel a knot in your stomach. A voice in your head whispers to you.

“It has gone too high,” the voice says. “It has to come down. It can’t go up forever. This is crazy.”

You move your mouse to the “Sell” button. You want to short it. You want to bet against it. You want to be the hero. You want to be the genius who calls the top. You want to brag to your friends that you sold the exact top of the biggest move in history.

Stop.

Take your hand off the mouse. Step away from the screen. Take a deep breath.

If you short silver right now, you will die.

I do not mean you will physically die. But your money will die. Your account will go to zero. You will lose everything you have worked for. You are standing on train tracks. You see a massive freight train coming at you at full speed. It has no brakes. And you are trying to stop it with your bare hands.

This is not a normal market move. This is a monster. This is a historic event.

I need you to understand what is happening. I have read the reports. I have seen the data. This is not just people buying silver because they like shiny metal. This is a war. This is a squeeze. And you are caught in the middle of it.

The Monster You Are Fighting

To survive, you must know your enemy. Why is silver going up like this?

It is January 2026. The world has changed. China has changed the rules of the game. The reports tell us that Beijing has started something called “capacity nationalism.”

That is a big phrase. But it means something simple. It means China has the silver, and they are not sharing it anymore.

On January 1st, they made a new rule. Only the biggest companies can send silver out of the country. If you are a small company, you are locked out. You cannot export. Then, they cut the tax breaks for sending solar products away. They need the silver for themselves. They need it for their own solar panels. They need it for their own factories.

They are squeezing the world.

Think about that. The supply of silver is choked off. But the world still needs it. The demand is exploding. Solar panels need silver. Electronics need silver. The military needs silver.

When you have no supply and huge demand, what happens to the price? It explodes.

In just one recent week, it jumped huge. This is not normal trading. This is a market that is ripping faces off.

The “Blue Sky” Danger

When a market moves like this, it creates a dangerous situation for short sellers. I call it “blue sky.”

Look at your chart again. Look to the left. Do you see any price history there? Do you see any “resistance” levels? Do you see any place where the price stopped before?

No. You don’t. You see nothing.

There is no roof. There is no ceiling. There is no line in the sand where sellers are waiting.

This is the most dangerous part. When there is no resistance, there are no natural sellers. Everyone who owns silver right now is making money. They are happy. They are not looking to sell. They are holding on for the ride.

And the people who are short? The people who bet against it yesterday? They are in pain. They are losing money every second. They are panicking. They have to buy silver to close their losing trades. This buying pushes the price even higher.

If you short right now, you are guessing. You are gambling.

If you short at $110, who says it stops there? What if it goes to $120? What if it gaps to $150 overnight because China announces a new ban? What if the dollar crashes?

You have no protection. You have no resistance to lean against. You are naked in a storm.

Taking random shorts with no resistance above you is suicide. It is not trading. It is a death wish.

The Solution: Wait for the Backside

So, how do we short this beast? How do we make money on the crash?

We wait.

We must have patience. Patience is painful. It hurts to watch a chart go up without you. It hurts to feel like you are missing the action. You feel the “FOMO”—the Fear Of Missing Out. You want to jump in.

But you must wait. We are waiting for the “backside” of the move.

Every parabolic move has a “front side” and a “backside.”

The front side is the way up. It is the party. It is the mania. It is the momentum. We never, ever short the front side. We let the bulls have their fun. We let them run. We get out of the way.

We wait for the structure to break.

Here is the exact map. Memorize it. Do not act until you see it.

Step 1: The Break

Eventually, the buying will stop. It always does.

One day, the price will drop hard. It will be a nasty red candle on the chart. It will be a big drop on heavy volume. It will shock people.

That is the first crack in the dam. That is the first sign that the bulls are tired.

But—and this is vital—do not short yet!

Why? Because the bulls are still strong. They will see that drop and think, “Sale! Cheap silver!” They will rush in to buy the dip. If you short the first drop, you might get run over by one last rally.

Step 2: The Trap Rally (The Lower High)

After that first big drop, the price will bounce. It will rally back up.

This is the most important part. You must wait for this rally.

The news will say, “Buy the dip!” The retail traders will rush in. They think the bull market is back on. They will try to push the price back to the highs.

But this time, it is different. The momentum is broken. The rally will feel heavy. It will struggle. It will try to make a new high, but it will fail. It will run out of gas.

It will make a Lower High.

This is the key. This is the setup. The market tried to go back up, and it failed. The buyers are exhausted. The bag holders are scared.

Step 3: The Short (The Leg Down)

Now, we strike.

We wait for that weak rally to roll over. When the price starts to drop again after that weak bounce, that is your entry.

Why is this safe? Because now you have a line in the sand.

You can put your “stop loss” order just above the top of that weak rally. Now your risk is defined. You know exactly when you are wrong. If the price goes above that high, you get out. You lose a little bit.

But if you are right? You catch the big one.

This is the “leg down.”

When the price breaks the lows of the first drop, fear kicks in. All the people who bought at the top start to panic. They are underwater. They just want to get out. They sell. The people who bought the dip panic. They sell.

This creates a chain reaction. A waterfall.

The price drops faster than it went up. That is where you make your money. You ride the slide down. You profit from their fear.

The Discipline of the Sniper

This sounds easy, but it is the hardest thing in the world to do.

It is hard to watch silver go up every day and do nothing. You will feel the urge to gamble. You will feel the urge to guess.

But you must be like a sniper. A sniper does not shoot at everything that moves. A sniper lays in the mud for three days, waiting for the perfect shot. A sniper waits until the target is clear. A sniper waits until the odds are 100% in his favor.

Right now, the odds are against you. Right now, the bulls have the ball.

It it is impossible to tell where this will stop. Maybe it stops here. Maybe it doubles from here. You do not know. I do not know. Nobody knows.

China is holding the cards. The dollar is weak. The world is scared. Gold is breaking out. Commodities are in a supercycle. The wind is at the back of silver.

If you stand in front of this wind, you will be blown away.

Do not let your ego destroy your account. Do not try to be the smartest person in the room. The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.

I want you to sit on your hands. I want you to watch the show. Let the price go to the moon. Let it go to Mars. Who cares? Let it go.

Watch for the crack. Watch for the panic. Watch for the failed rally.

Do not get in the way of momentum. It is a force of nature. Respect it. Fear it.

Wait for the turn. Wait for the structure to break. Wait for the backside.

If you short now, you are gambling. If you wait, you are trading.

Be a trader. Survive today so you can trade tomorrow.

-- Brian